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Duke vs. UNC prediction: Duke favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Duke vs UNC predictions for college basketball Saturday.
UNC and Duke will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Dean E. Smith Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 6:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Duke as the most likely winner of the Duke vs. UNC game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Duke vs. UNC prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Duke and UNC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Duke a 71% chance of beating North Carolina. Our predicted final score has Duke winning 79-73.
According to our model, North Carolina (+6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 152.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Duke vs. UNC odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Duke | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +245 |
| Total | o152.5 (-108) | u152.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Duke vs. UNC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Carolina +6.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | North Carolina | +245 |
| Total | Over 152.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is North Carolina to win.
Duke vs. UNC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between UNC and Duke at Dean E. Smith Center is scheduled to start at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Duke vs. North Carolina
- Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
Conclusion
We predict Duke, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Duke vs. North Carolina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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