Duke vs. California prediction: Why Duke is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/14/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 11:00 PM ET as the favored Duke squares off with California in men's college basketball action at Haas Pavilion.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Duke as the most likely winner of the Duke vs. California game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Duke vs. California prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Duke and California 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Duke an 87% chance of defeating California. Our predicted final score has Duke winning 80-68.

According to our model, California (+13.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 149.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Duke vs. California odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Duke vs. California picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: