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Lions vs. Rams prediction: Rams favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the Detroit Lions take on the favored Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Rams as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Rams game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Lions vs. Rams prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Lions-Rams predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Lions and Rams 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rams a 68% chance of beating the Lions in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 30-24.
According to our model, the Lions (+6) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Lions vs. Rams odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6 (-110) | -6 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +215 | -245 |
| Total | o54.5 (-115) | u54.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Rams picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions +6 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Lions | +215 |
| Total | Under 54.5 | -102 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lions to win.
Lions vs. Rams TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Lions vs. Rams?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Lions vs. Rams.
Our projections give Gibbs a 60.7% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 13.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) | 60.7% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) | 44.0% |
| David Montgomery (RB) | 34.7% |
| Jameson Williams (WR) | 34.1% |
| Isaac TeSlaa (WR) | 15.4% |
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams (WR) | 56.1% |
| Puka Nacua (WR) | 48.3% |
| Kyren Williams (RB) | 47.7% |
| Blake Corum (RB) | 31.8% |
| Colby Parkinson (TE) | 24.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) | 13.3% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) | 8.3% |
| David Montgomery (RB) | 6.1% |
| Jameson Williams (WR) | 5.9% |
| Isaac TeSlaa (WR) | 2.4% |
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams (WR) | 12.0% |
| Puka Nacua (WR) | 9.6% |
| Kyren Williams (RB) | 9.5% |
| Blake Corum (RB) | 5.6% |
| Colby Parkinson (TE) | 4.0% |
Lions vs Rams player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Lions and Rams. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 254 passing yards, while the Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for a whopping 286 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jared Goff (DET) | 254 |
| Matthew Stafford (LA) | 286 |
Lions rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 77 |
| David Montgomery | 32 |
| Sione Vaki | 4 |
Rams rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 64 |
| Blake Corum | 43 |
| Puka Nacua | 4 |
Lions receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 85 |
| Jameson Williams | 66 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 41 |
| Isaac TeSlaa | 21 |
| Anthony Firkser | 16 |
Rams receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 104 |
| Davante Adams | 68 |
| Colby Parkinson | 33 |
| Davis Allen | 15 |
| Kyren Williams | 15 |
Lions vs. Rams game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Rams and Lions at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Rams, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Lions in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Rams insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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