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Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction: Denver favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [11/19/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will square off with the favored Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Jeremiah Fears, while the Nuggets will rely on Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Wednesday's clash between the Nuggets and Pelicans.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+10.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 235.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-110) | +10.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -510 | +425 |
| Total | o235.5 (-110) | u235.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +10.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +425 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +10.5 at the spread.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Denver vs. New Orleans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 28 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 70 |
| Jamal Murray | 23 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 44 |
| Cameron Johnson | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 25 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 49 |
| Trey Murphy | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 41 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Derik Queen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
| Saddiq Bey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Nuggets vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Pelicans and Nuggets at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Wednesday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 70 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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