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Nuggets vs. Bucks prediction: Milwaukee to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [1/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 9:30 PM ET as the Denver Nuggets face off with the favored Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Bucks as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Bucks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bucks lineup will feature players like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins and Bobby Portis, while the Nuggets will rely on Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway and Jalen Pickett.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Bucks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Bucks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Bucks a 76% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 110-102.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 213.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Bucks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-105) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +265 | -325 |
| Total | o213.5 (-110) | u213.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Bucks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -325 |
| Total | Under 213.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets +8.5 at the spread.
Nuggets vs. Bucks player props
Looking for Denver vs. Milwaukee NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Fiserv Forum.
Aaron Gordon is expected to lead the Nuggets with 19 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to have 30 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Bucks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| Tim Hardaway | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 26 |
| Jalen Pickett | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 30 |
| Spencer Jones | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Bruce Brown | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
Bucks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bucks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 61 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Bobby Portis | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Myles Turner | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
Nuggets vs. Bucks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Bucks and Nuggets at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Friday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for a game-high 61 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Bucks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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