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Nuggets vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Bucks NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
102
100
Jan 24, 2:30AM Fiserv Forum
Jan 24, 2:30AM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 21 | 65 | 16 | 0 | 102 |
Bucks | 21 | 42 | 37 | 0 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
74%
26%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 21 | 65 | 16 | 0 | 102 |
Bucks | 21 | 42 | 37 | 0 | 100 |
Q4 00:05 Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)
Q4 00:40 Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point putback layup
Q4 00:46 Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Jalen Pickett misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:00 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:17 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Gary Harris personal foul
Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-100
Nuggets personal foul
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
102-100
Myles Turner personal foul
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-100
Bucks 60 second timeout
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-100
Instant replay
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)
99-97
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point putback layup
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
102-100
Bucks personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jalen Pickett misses two point jump shot
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-100
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
102-100
Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
86-63
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-63
Bucks personal foul
Ryan Rollins personal foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
97-87
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point stepback jump shot
86-63
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jalen Pickett misses three point jump shot
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup
102-100
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji personal foul
Bucks offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Curtis Jones makes two point turnaround jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
86-63
+3
Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot
86-63
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Curtis Jones assists)
86-63
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks violation
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Andre Jackson Jr., Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Zeke Nnaji, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-63
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
86-63
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cole Anthony makes two point driving layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)
102-100
Bruce Brown personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)
Bucks personal foul
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Bruce Brown assists)
102-100
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point running jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Cole Anthony defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spencer Jones personal foul
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Amir Coffey shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 3 of 3
102-100
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point bank jump shot
86-63
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-63
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point jump shot
86-63
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-100
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Ryan Rollins, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Ryan Rollins, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Bucks turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-63
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+1
Ryan Rollins makes technical free throw 1 of 1
86-63
Bucks personal foul
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
86-63
Bucks misses two point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Zeke Nnaji turnover (Ryan Rollins steals)
+2
Myles Turner makes two point driving finger roll layup (Gary Harris assists)
54-50
Gary Harris shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 3
102-100
Ryan Rollins misses three point stepback jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
+3
Myles Turner makes three point stepback jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
54-50
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point driving finger roll layup
54-50
+3
Gary Harris makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
54-50
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II)
End of 1st Half.
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
54-50
Instant replay (Request)
Bucks personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-100
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-58
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
86-63
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
54-50
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
Aaron Gordon offensive foul (Charge) (Amir Coffey draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point driving layup
54-50
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Aaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Jalen Pickett misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point stepback jump shot
97-87
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
62-55
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Amir Coffey shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-33
+2
Myles Turner makes two point cutting layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
30-32
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown)
+3
Curtis Jones makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
30-30
Kyle Kuzma misses two point driving hook shot
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
+3
Amir Coffey makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)
25-30
DaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
+3
Bobby Portis makes three point running jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)
25-27
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Curtis Jones assists)
25-23
Bobby Portis misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point driving hook shot
23-23
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis misses two point driving hook shot
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Curtis Jones shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
End of 1st Quarter.
Hunter Tyson personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Amir Coffey personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Pete Nance misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover (shot clock violation)
Bucks offensive rebound
Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
+3
Cole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
18-17
+2
Amir Coffey makes two point driving layup (Cole Anthony assists)
18-14
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Pete Nance, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Amir Coffey)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point running layup (Spencer Jones assists)
18-12
Myles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Amir Coffey)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Zeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot
Gary Harris offensive rebound
Ryan Rollins misses two point pullup jump shot
Aaron Gordon misses two point stepback jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)
14-12
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)
Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Amir Coffey defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Bucks violation
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point pullup jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
12-10
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Julian Strawther steals)
Aaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot
Gary Harris misses three point stepback jump shot
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-6
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-7
Zeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot
Gary Harris offensive rebound
Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 3
7-3
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 3 of 3
8-3
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Bucks personal foul
Myles Turner misses three point running jump shot
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Gary Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+3
Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
3-2
Zeke Nnaji kicked ball violation
Zeke Nnaji vs. Myles Turner (Ryan Rollins gains possession)
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 13 | 3 | 7 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 15 | 3 | 3 |
| C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 11 | 12 | 2 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 21 | S. Jones | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | G. Harris | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 18 | K. Kuzma | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| C | 3 | M. Turner | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 13 | R. Rollins | 21 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 9 | B. Portis | 11 | 9 | 0 |
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Nuggets vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Bucks
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Bucks favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +275, Bucks -325
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 24%
- Bucks: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 103-111 Bucks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 24%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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