Nuggets vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Bucks NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nuggets
102
100
Fiserv Forum
Bucks
Fiserv Forum
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
21 65 16 0 102
Bucks
21 42 37 0 100
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    74%
  • Bucks
    26%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
21 65 16 0 102
Bucks
21 42 37 0 100
Q4 00:05 Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)
Q4 00:40 Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point putback layup
Q4 00:46 Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Jalen Pickett misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:00 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:17 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:04
    Gary Harris personal foul
  4. Q4 00:04
    Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  5. Q4 00:04
    +1
    Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-100
  6. Q4 00:04
    Nuggets personal foul
  7. Q4 00:05
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
    102-100
  8. Q4 00:10
    Myles Turner personal foul
  9. Q4 00:10
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-100
  10. Q4 00:10
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 00:10
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    102-100
  12. Q4 00:29
    Instant replay
  13. Q4 00:29
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)
    99-97
  14. Q4 00:29
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 00:29
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  16. Q4 00:40
    Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point putback layup
  17. Q4 00:40
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  18. Q4 00:43
    Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
  19. Q4 00:46
    Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 00:59
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    102-100
  21. Q4 1:08
    Bucks personal foul
  22. Q4 1:08
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  23. Q4 1:43
    Jalen Pickett misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 2:01
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-100
  25. Q4 2:37
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    102-100
  26. Q4 2:54
    Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 3:50
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  28. Q4 3:50
    Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
  29. Q4 3:57
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  30. Q4 4:00
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 4:17
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 4:29
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 4:41
    Spencer Jones shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
  34. Q4 4:49
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  35. Q4 5:31
    +2
    Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
    86-63
  36. Q4 5:31
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
  37. Q4 5:31
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  38. Q4 6:16
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  39. Q4 6:42
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  40. Q4 6:52
    Bucks personal foul
  41. Q4 7:06
    Ryan Rollins personal foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)
  42. Q4 7:20
    +2
    Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
    97-87
  43. Q4 8:06
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point stepback jump shot
    86-63
  44. Q4 8:06
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown)
  45. Q4 8:13
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  46. Q4 8:16
    Jalen Pickett misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 8:35
    +2
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup
    102-100
  48. Q4 8:52
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  49. Q4 8:57
    Zeke Nnaji personal foul
  50. Q4 8:57
    Bucks offensive rebound
  51. Q4 8:57
    Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
  52. Q4 9:12
    Curtis Jones defensive rebound
  53. Q4 9:15
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 9:33
    +2
    Curtis Jones makes two point turnaround jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
    86-63
  55. Q4 9:48
    +3
    Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot
    86-63
  56. Q4 9:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  57. Q4 10:33
    +3
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Curtis Jones assists)
    86-63
  58. Q4 10:40
    Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
  59. Q4 10:44
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 10:51
    Bucks violation
  61. Q4 11:08
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Andre Jackson Jr., Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
  62. Q4 11:08
    Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Zeke Nnaji, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
  63. Q4 11:08
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-63
  64. Q4 11:09
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  65. Q4 11:13
    Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 11:26
    +3
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
    86-63
  67. Q4 11:36
    Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
  68. Q4 11:41
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  69. Q3 00:03
    +2
    Cole Anthony makes two point driving layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)
    102-100
  70. Q3 00:06
    Bruce Brown personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)
  71. Q3 00:06
    Bucks personal foul
  72. Q3 00:16
    +2
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Bruce Brown assists)
    102-100
  73. Q3 00:32
    Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
  74. Q3 1:14
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  75. Q3 1:50
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  76. Q3 1:50
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  77. Q3 1:50
    Bucks personal foul
  78. Q3 1:50
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
  79. Q3 1:50
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  80. Q3 1:51
    Julian Strawther misses two point running jump shot
  81. Q3 1:53
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  82. Q3 2:12
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  83. Q3 2:31
    Cole Anthony defensive rebound
  84. Q3 2:35
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  85. Q3 3:12
    Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 3:16
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  87. Q3 3:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
  88. Q3 3:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  89. Q3 3:37
    Spencer Jones personal foul
  90. Q3 3:37
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  91. Q3 3:52
    Amir Coffey shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
  92. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    102-100
  93. Q3 4:05
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point bank jump shot
    86-63
  94. Q3 4:28
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)
  95. Q3 4:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  96. Q3 4:33
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  97. Q3 4:55
    +2
    Jalen Pickett makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  98. Q3 5:05
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  99. Q3 5:33
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    102-100
  100. Q3 5:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  101. Q3 5:57
    Myles Turner personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
  102. Q3 5:57
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Ryan Rollins, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
  103. Q3 6:16
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  104. Q3 7:04
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  105. Q3 7:04
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Ryan Rollins, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
  106. Q3 7:11
    Bucks turnover
  107. Q3 7:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  108. Q3 7:23
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  109. Q3 7:24
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  110. Q3 7:39
    +1
    Ryan Rollins makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    86-63
  111. Q3 7:39
    Bucks personal foul
  112. Q3 8:07
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  113. Q3 8:24
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 9:08
    DaRon Holmes II personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
  115. Q3 9:08
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  116. Q3 9:11
    Zeke Nnaji turnover (Ryan Rollins steals)
  117. Q3 9:23
    +2
    Myles Turner makes two point driving finger roll layup (Gary Harris assists)
    54-50
  118. Q3 9:43
    Gary Harris shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
  119. Q3 9:43
    Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  120. Q3 9:43
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    102-100
  121. Q3 9:48
    Ryan Rollins misses three point stepback jump shot
  122. Q3 10:00
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  123. Q3 10:18
    Bucks turnover
  124. Q3 10:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  125. Q3 10:34
    Bucks defensive rebound
  126. Q3 10:49
    +3
    Myles Turner makes three point stepback jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
    54-50
  127. Q3 11:02
    +2
    Julian Strawther makes two point driving finger roll layup
    54-50
  128. Q3 11:27
    +3
    Gary Harris makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
    54-50
  129. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II)
  130. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  131. Q2 00:03
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  132. Q2 00:03
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  133. Q2 00:09
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  134. Q2 00:31
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  135. Q2 00:35
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  136. Q2 00:47
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    54-50
  137. Q2 00:56
    Instant replay (Request)
  138. Q2 1:05
    Bucks personal foul
  139. Q2 1:05
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    102-100
  140. Q2 1:22
    +1
    Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    71-58
  141. Q2 1:22
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    86-63
  142. Q2 1:31
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  143. Q2 1:35
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  144. Q2 1:58
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  145. Q2 1:58
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
  146. Q2 2:25
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    54-50
  147. Q2 2:36
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  148. Q2 2:58
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  149. Q2 2:58
    Aaron Gordon offensive foul (Charge) (Amir Coffey draws the foul)
  150. Q2 2:58
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon)
  151. Q2 2:58
    +2
    Aaron Gordon makes two point driving layup
    54-50
  152. Q2 2:58
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  153. Q2 2:58
    Aaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)
  154. Q2 2:58
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
  155. Q2 3:08
    Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  156. Q2 3:12
    Jalen Pickett misses three point jump shot
  157. Q2 3:37
    Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  158. Q2 4:06
    +2
    Jalen Pickett makes two point stepback jump shot
    97-87
  159. Q2 4:09
    Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
  160. Q2 4:37
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  161. Q2 5:13
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    62-55
  162. Q2 6:10
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  163. Q2 6:41
    Myles Turner offensive rebound
  164. Q2 6:46
    Myles Turner offensive rebound
  165. Q2 6:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  166. Q2 7:08
    Amir Coffey shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
  167. Q2 7:08
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-33
  168. Q2 7:26
    +2
    Myles Turner makes two point cutting layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
    30-32
  169. Q2 7:30
    Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown)
  170. Q2 7:40
    +3
    Curtis Jones makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
    30-30
  171. Q2 7:46
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point driving hook shot
  172. Q2 8:16
    DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
  173. Q2 8:28
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  174. Q2 8:52
    +3
    Amir Coffey makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)
    25-30
  175. Q2 9:11
    DaRon Holmes II misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 9:25
    Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
  177. Q2 9:26
    +3
    Bobby Portis makes three point running jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)
    25-27
  178. Q2 9:37
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  179. Q2 9:43
    Pete Nance offensive rebound
  180. Q2 9:46
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  181. Q2 9:56
    +2
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Curtis Jones assists)
    25-23
  182. Q2 10:15
    Bobby Portis misses two point floating jump shot
  183. Q2 10:45
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point driving hook shot
    23-23
  184. Q2 10:56
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  185. Q2 11:04
    Bobby Portis misses two point driving hook shot
  186. Q2 11:18
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  187. Q2 11:18
    Curtis Jones shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  188. Q2 11:19
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  189. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Hunter Tyson, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Bruce Brown)
  190. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  191. Q1 00:05
    Hunter Tyson personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  192. Q1 00:17
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  193. Q1 00:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  194. Q1 00:22
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  195. Q1 1:01
    Amir Coffey personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
  196. Q1 1:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  197. Q1 1:08
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  198. Q1 1:11
    Pete Nance misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 1:36
    Bucks turnover (shot clock violation)
  200. Q1 1:37
    Bucks offensive rebound
  201. Q1 2:02
    Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
  202. Q1 2:27
    +3
    Cole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)
    18-17
  203. Q1 3:05
    +2
    Amir Coffey makes two point driving layup (Cole Anthony assists)
    18-14
  204. Q1 3:24
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Pete Nance, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Amir Coffey)
  205. Q1 3:24
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
  206. Q1 3:24
    +2
    Bruce Brown makes two point running layup (Spencer Jones assists)
    18-12
  207. Q1 3:43
    Myles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)
  208. Q1 3:57
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Amir Coffey)
  209. Q1 3:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  210. Q1 3:59
    Zeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot
  211. Q1 4:21
    Gary Harris offensive rebound
  212. Q1 4:25
    Ryan Rollins misses two point pullup jump shot
  213. Q1 4:37
    Aaron Gordon misses two point stepback jump shot
  214. Q1 4:59
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  215. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)
    14-12
  216. Q1 5:24
    Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)
  217. Q1 5:44
    Myles Turner blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point driving layup
  218. Q1 5:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  219. Q1 6:13
    Amir Coffey defensive rebound
  220. Q1 6:17
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
  221. Q1 6:32
    Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  222. Q1 6:32
    Bucks violation
  223. Q1 6:47
    +3
    Ryan Rollins makes three point pullup jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
    12-10
  224. Q1 7:21
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  225. Q1 7:37
    Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Julian Strawther steals)
  226. Q1 7:45
    Aaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot
  227. Q1 7:53
    Gary Harris misses three point stepback jump shot
  228. Q1 8:27
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    8-6
  229. Q1 8:27
    +1
    Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-7
  230. Q1 8:33
    Zeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot
  231. Q1 8:47
    Gary Harris offensive rebound
  232. Q1 8:59
    Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
  233. Q1 9:22
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    7-3
  234. Q1 9:22
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    8-3
  235. Q1 9:22
    Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 3
  236. Q1 9:22
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
  237. Q1 9:22
    Bucks personal foul
  238. Q1 9:35
    Myles Turner misses three point running jump shot
  239. Q1 9:42
    Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
  240. Q1 9:59
    Bucks offensive rebound
  241. Q1 9:59
    Gary Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  242. Q1 10:16
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  243. Q1 10:24
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  244. Q1 11:04
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  245. Q1 11:17
    +3
    Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
    3-2
  246. Q1 11:47
    Zeke Nnaji kicked ball violation
  247. Q1 12:00
    Zeke Nnaji vs. Myles Turner (Ryan Rollins gains possession)
  248. Q1 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Bucks
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Bucks
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bucks favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +275, Bucks -325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 24%
  • Bucks: 76%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 103-111 Bucks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 24%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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