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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [11/24/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Monday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets are scheduled to meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Monday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Jaren Jackson, Cedric Coward and Santi Aldama, while the Nuggets will look to Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Nuggets and Grizzlies.
Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 71% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-114.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Nuggets and Grizzlies each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +220 |
| Total | o235.5 (-110) | u235.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -270 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 235.5 total points.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player props
Betting on Nuggets vs. Grizzlies NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 27 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 20 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 65 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 46 |
| Cameron Johnson | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Santi Aldama | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Zach Edey | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Jaylen Wells | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Grizzlies and Nuggets at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday, November 24, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 65 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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