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Dayton vs. Cincinnati prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dayton vs Cincinnati predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Cincinnati and Dayton will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Fifth Third Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Cincinnati as the most likely winner of the Dayton vs. Cincinnati game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Dayton vs. Cincinnati prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Dayton and Cincinnati 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Cincinnati a 76% chance of beating Dayton. Our predicted final score has Cincinnati winning 77-69.
According to our model, Cincinnati (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 148.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Dayton vs. Cincinnati odds
We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dayton | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +230 | -265 |
| Total | o148.5 (-110) | u148.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dayton vs. Cincinnati picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cincinnati -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Cincinnati | -265 |
| Total | Over 148.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cincinnati -6.5 at the spread.
Dayton vs. Cincinnati game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Cincinnati and Dayton at Fifth Third Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Dayton vs. Cincinnati
- Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Fifth Third Arena
Conclusion
We predict Cincinnati, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Dayton on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dayton vs. Cincinnati insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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