Stars vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [11/13/2025]

The Montreal Canadiens will take on the Dallas Stars, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Bell Centre on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Canadiens a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Stars.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Stars vs. Canadiens matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Stars vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Stars and Canadiens.

According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over.

Stars vs. Canadiens odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Stars	Canadiens
Puck Line	+1.5 (-250)	-1.5 (+220)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o5.5 (-125)	u5.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stars vs. Canadiens picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Stars +1.5	-250
Moneyline	Stars	+100
Total	Over 5.5	-125

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Stars +1.5 at the spread.

Stars vs. Canadiens player props

Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Canadiens?

According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Canadiens.

Our projections give Caufield a 40.8% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Mikko Rantanen	40.3%
Wyatt Johnston	39.2%
Jason Robertson	30.9%
Tyler Seguin	29.7%
Roope Hintz	28.9%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	40.8%
Ivan Demidov	28.5%
Nick Suzuki	27.7%
Juraj Slafkovsky	24.3%
Zachary Bolduc	23.8%

First goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

Player	First Goal Probability
Mikko Rantanen	8.5%
Wyatt Johnston	8.2%
Jason Robertson	5.8%
Roope Hintz	5.6%
Tyler Seguin	5.5%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	8.6%
Ivan Demidov	5.4%
Nick Suzuki	4.9%
Zachary Bolduc	4.0%
Juraj Slafkovsky	3.7%

Stars vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Canadiens and Stars at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Stars vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Bell Centre

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Conclusion

We predict the Canadiens, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Stars on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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