Mavericks vs. Wizards prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [11/8/2025]

The Washington Wizards will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Capital One Arena on Saturday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Wizards game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature stars like Alex Sarr, CJ McCollum and Tre Johnson, while the Mavericks will rely on P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mavericks a 63% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 118-114.

According to our model, the Wizards (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Wizards odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mavericks	Wizards
Spread	-4.5 (-110)	+4.5 (-108)
Moneyline	-175	+152
Total	o234.5 (-108)	u234.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Wizards picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wizards +4.5	-108
Moneyline	Mavericks	-175
Total	Under 234.5	-112

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +4.5 at the spread.

Mavericks vs. Wizards player props

NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Saturday's Mavericks vs. Wizards matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.

P.J. Washington is expected to lead the Mavericks with 18 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Alex Sarr is projected to have 18 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Wizards.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
P.J. Washington	18	8	3	2
Anthony Davis	17	8	3	1
Cooper Flagg	16	7	3	1
D'Angelo Russell	15	3	6	2
Daniel Gafford	12	7	2	0

Wizards prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Alex Sarr	18	8	4	2
CJ McCollum	16	4	4	3
Tre Johnson	14	4	2	2
Kyshawn George	13	6	4	2
Corey Kispert	11	3	2	2

Mavs vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Wizards and Mavericks at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards
• Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Mavericks, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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