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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [2/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Friday.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks will meet in NBA action at Target Center on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Mavericks will be led by Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall and P.J. Washington.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves an 84% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 124-113.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-108) | -13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +530 | -700 |
| Total | o239.5 (-106) | u239.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +13.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +530 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -105 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player props
Betting on Dallas vs. Minnesota NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Brandon Williams is expected to lead the Mavericks with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Williams | 18 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 34 |
| P.J. Washington | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Max Christie | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Marvin Bagley | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 28 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 22 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 43 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Mavs vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Timberwolves and Mavericks at Target Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Timberwolves, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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