Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [2/20/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks will lock horns in NBA action at Target Center on Friday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Mavericks will rely on Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams and P.J. Washington.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Timberwolves an 85% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 125-112.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 239.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mavericks	Timberwolves
Spread	+13.5 (-105)	-13.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+520	-700
Total	o239.5 (-110)	u239.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mavericks +13.5	-105
Moneyline	Mavericks	+520
Total	Under 239.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player props

Betting on Dallas vs. Minnesota NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Naji Marshall is expected to lead the Mavericks with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Naji Marshall	18	5	3	1	34
B. Williams	17	4	5	1	35
P.J. Washington	15	7	2	1	33
Khris Middleton	12	4	3	1	25
Klay Thompson	11	2	1	3	20

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	3	49
Julius Randle	22	7	5	2	43
Jaden McDaniels	15	4	3	1	30
Naz Reid	14	6	3	2	32
Ayo Dosunmu	13	3	3	2	26

Mavs vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Mavericks at Target Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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