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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves NBA game on February 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
122
Feb 21, 12:30AM Target Center
Feb 21, 12:30AM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 25 | 32 | 54 | 0 | 111 |
Timberwolves | 39 | 30 | 53 | 0 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 25 | 32 | 54 | 0 | 111 |
Timberwolves | 39 | 30 | 53 | 0 | 122 |
Q4 00:11 Naji Marshall misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:21 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Rudy Gobert makes two point running dunk (Naz Reid assists)
Q4 00:47 Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Naz Reid blocks P.J. Washington's two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jaden McDaniels turnover (Klay Thompson steals)
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point pullup jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
111-122
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point running dunk (Naz Reid assists)
111-122
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
111-122
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
109-120
Klay Thompson personal foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)
Klay Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Naz Reid blocks P.J. Washington's two point driving layup
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses two point pullup jump shot
Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-122
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-122
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
111-122
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
Timberwolves violation
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
111-122
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
Khris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Klay Thompson draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point running jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
109-120
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
111-122
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
111-122
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyus Jones makes two point jump shot
105-106
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot
103-106
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
+2
Tyus Jones makes two point jump shot
105-106
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Tyus Jones offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (lost ball) (Daniel Gafford steals)
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
109-120
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point layup
Julius Randle turnover (lost ball) (Khris Middleton steals)
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point driving layup
P.J. Washington personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Khris Middleton)
Jaden McDaniels personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland)
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
98-103
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses two point driving layup
Jaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
98-103
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
98-103
Ayo Dosunmu personal foul
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Ayo Dosunmu misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert turnover (lost ball) (Naji Marshall steals)
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point jump shot
98-103
+2
Naz Reid makes two point turnaround jump shot
98-103
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)
98-103
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
98-103
Bones Hyland offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III blocks Timberwolves's two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland)
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
88-96
Caleb Martin violation
+2
Ayo Dosunmu makes two point running layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
98-103
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving reverse layup
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-103
Brandon Williams shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-120
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-122
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot
98-103
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert blocks Brandon Williams's two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
111-122
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
111-122
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
111-122
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Ayo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point running layup
88-96
Ayo Dosunmu personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-120
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
P.J. Washington personal foul (Loose ball) (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III turnover (lost ball)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
109-120
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
78-83
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround hook shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-122
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
76-81
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-79
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Jaden McDaniels turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
105-106
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Naji Marshall turnover
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks turnover (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)
76-81
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
109-120
+2
Tyus Jones makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
76-81
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
70-75
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point floating jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
76-81
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
98-103
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
76-81
Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Jaden McDaniels steals)
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving dunk
76-81
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
105-106
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
66-75
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Jaden McDaniels's two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
78-85
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point putback layup
66-75
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-85
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Naji Marshall personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Tyus Jones misses two point driving finger roll layup
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
57-69
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Timberwolves personal foul
Mavericks defensive rebound
Instant replay
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes technical free throw 1 of 2
57-69
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes technical free throw 2 of 2
57-69
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gobert steals)
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-69
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-69
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
57-69
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-55
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-55
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-69
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-55
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point stepback jump shot
43-55
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-55
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
43-55
Julius Randle shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-55
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-55
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-55
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-55
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-55
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point tip layup
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Brandon Williams assists)
43-55
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-55
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-55
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin personal foul
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-55
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
57-69
Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
39-53
Klay Thompson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton)
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-51
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Khris Middleton)
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
39-50
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton)
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
37-50
Mavericks turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
37-47
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-48
AJ Johnson offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Joan Beringer, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Tyus Jones, AJ Johnson, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-45
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-45
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-45
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Joan Beringer, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Joan Beringer, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
32-45
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
29-45
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-42
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-42
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
27-42
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
25-42
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
AJ Johnson offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-39
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-40
Brandon Williams misses heave shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, AJ Johnson, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Joan Beringer, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
23-38
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
23-35
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-33
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-33
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
21-33
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-30
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks personal foul
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-30
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
19-29
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Rudy Gobert's two point layup
Rudy Gobert turnover (lost ball)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
17-29
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
17-27
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
17-24
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
15-24
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
15-21
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
15-19
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-17
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo)
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-17
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
11-17
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson, Tyus Jones, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
11-14
Timberwolves turnover
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Tyus Jones, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Timberwolves violation
Timberwolves violation
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-11
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
11-10
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels turnover (lost ball)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
8-10
Mavericks turnover
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
8-8
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
6-8
Mavericks personal foul
Jaden McDaniels misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
6-6
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
3-6
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
3-3
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
1-3
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | D. Gafford | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 31 | K. Thompson | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 13 | N. Marshall | 15 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 12 | 12 | 2 |
| F | 20 | K. Middleton | 18 | 6 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-F | 11 | N. Reid | 21 | 7 | 4 |
| C | 27 | R. Gobert | 22 | 17 | 1 |
| G | 0 | D. DiVincenzo | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| F | 3 | J. McDaniels | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| G | 5 | A. Edwards | 40 | 6 | 1 |
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +540, Timberwolves -700
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 15%
- Timberwolves: 85%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 113-125 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 15%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Target Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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