Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [11/7/2025]

The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Cedric Coward, while the Mavericks will look to P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg and D'Angelo Russell.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 63% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 117-114.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +4.5 at the spread.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies player props

Looking for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

P.J. Washington is expected to lead the Mavericks with 18 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Ja Morant is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists for the Grizzlies.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Grizzlies prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:

Mavs vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

Conclusion

We predict the Grizzlies, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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