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Mavericks vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [11/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Houston Rockets will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Toyota Center on Monday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Mavericks will look to D'Angelo Russell, P.J. Washington and Cooper Flagg.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rockets an 82% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 118-107.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mavericks vs. Rockets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-114) | -12.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +520 | -650 |
| Total | o226.5 (-105) | u226.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +12.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +520 |
| Total | Over 226.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +12.5 at the spread.
Mavericks vs. Rockets player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Dallas vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
D'Angelo Russell is expected to lead the Mavericks with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| P.J. Washington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Cooper Flagg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Max Christie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Klay Thompson | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Mavs vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Rockets and Mavericks at Toyota Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Monday, November 3, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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