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Mavericks vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Denver Nuggets will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 9:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Mavericks will rely on Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Mavericks and Nuggets.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets an 80% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-112.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-112) | -11.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +410 | -550 |
| Total | o235.5 (-110) | u235.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +11.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +410 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +11.5 at the spread.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props
Betting on Dallas vs. Denver NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Anthony Davis is expected to lead the Mavericks with 21 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 29 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Cooper Flagg | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 36 |
| Naji Marshall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| B. Williams | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 29 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 67 |
| Jamal Murray | 24 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 45 |
| Cameron Johnson | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Peyton Watson | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Mavs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Nuggets and Mavericks at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Sports betting deal available for today's Missouri launch
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 67 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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