...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Cowboys vs. Giants prediction: Dallas favored to win in NFL Week 18 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New York Giants will take on the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 18 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Cowboys as the most likely winner of the Cowboys vs. Giants game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Cowboys vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Cowboys-Giants predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Giants 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cowboys a 61% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 26-23.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cowboys and Giants each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 50-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 18 straight up picks.
Cowboys vs. Giants odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cowboys | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-115) | +3 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -164 | +140 |
| Total | o50 (-120) | u50 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cowboys vs. Giants picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants +3 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | -164 |
| Total | Under 50 | -110 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 50 total points.
Cowboys vs. Giants TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Cowboys vs. Giants?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 18, Jaydon Blue is most likely to score an anytime TD in Cowboys vs. Giants.
Our projections give Blue a 49.9% chance of getting in for six at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 10.5% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaydon Blue (RB) | 49.9% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 38.0% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 36.4% |
| Phil Mafah (RB) | 28.1% |
| Ryan Flournoy (WR) | 23.4% |
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 39.8% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 37.8% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 34.2% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 30.0% |
| Isaiah Hodgins (WR) | 25.3% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaydon Blue (RB) | 10.5% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 7.3% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 6.9% |
| Phil Mafah (RB) | 5.0% |
| Ryan Flournoy (WR) | 4.1% |
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 8.0% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 7.5% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 6.6% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 5.6% |
| Isaiah Hodgins (WR) | 4.6% |
Cowboys vs Giants player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Giants. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 18 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to have a big game with 272 passing yards. The Giants' Jaxson Dart is expected to throw for 220 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 272 |
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | 220 |
Cowboys rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaydon Blue | 54 |
| Phil Mafah | 28 |
| Dak Prescott | 10 |
Giants rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 60 |
| Jaxson Dart | 37 |
| Devin Singletary | 31 |
Cowboys receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 72 |
| George Pickens | 70 |
| Ryan Flournoy | 33 |
| Jake Ferguson | 30 |
| KaVontae Turpin | 16 |
Giants receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Darius Slayton | 62 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 40 |
| Daniel Bellinger | 37 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 20 |
| Gunner Olszewski | 19 |
Cowboys vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Giants and Cowboys at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
NFL Week 18 betting promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Cowboys vs. Giants predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.
DraftKings Sportsbook
Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Bet365 Sportsbook
Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.
Conclusion
We predict the Cowboys, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 18 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure