Creighton vs. Providence prediction: Why Creighton is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/16/2026]

Providence will square off with Creighton, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Amica Mutual Pavilion on Friday, starting at 6:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Creighton a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Providence.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Creighton vs. Providence matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Creighton vs. Providence prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Creighton and Providence 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Creighton a 52% chance of beating Providence. Our predicted score is Creighton 78-78 Providence.

According to our model, Providence (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 78-78 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Creighton vs. Providence.

Creighton vs. Providence odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Creighton vs. Providence picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: