UConn vs. Providence prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/7/2026]

Providence will take on the favored UConn in men's college basketball action at Amica Mutual Pavilion on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Connecticut as the most likely winner of the UConn vs. Providence game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UConn vs. Providence prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between UConn and Providence 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Connecticut a 79% chance of defeating Providence. Our predicted final score has Connecticut winning 78-70.

According to our model, Providence (+9.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 151.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

UConn vs. Providence odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UConn vs. Providence picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: