College football picks today: Week 15 Saturday best bets include South Dakota State vs. Montana play [12/6/2025]

Montana -1.5 (-118)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Matchup: South Dakota State vs. Montana (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Montana -1.5 at -118 odds. A 64.6% probability produces an edge of 10.5%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Western Michigan -1.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Western Michigan -1.5 carries a 5.8% edge and a probability of 58.2% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Western Michigan ML (-120)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Matchup: Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Western Michigan ML at -120 odds shows a 5.6% edge, supported by a 60.1% probability in simulations.

Montana ML (-140)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Matchup: South Dakota State vs. Montana (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 4.5% edge and 62.9% probability make Montana at the moneyline at a value play in the South Dakota State vs. Montana matchup, per our model.

Rhode Island vs. UC Davis over 56.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Rhode Island vs. UC Davis (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rhode Island vs. UC Davis over 56.5 points at -105 odds presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.7%.

South Dakota ML (+180)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 40%
• Matchup: South Dakota vs. Mercer (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on South Dakota to win at +180 odds, supported by an edge of 4.2%.

Alabama ML (+105)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Matchup: Georgia vs. Alabama (4:00PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on Alabama ML at +105 odds. A 52.4% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin under 49.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 3.5% edge on a 55.9% probability makes under 49.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin matchup.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 12/6/2025

As of 2:32AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
South Dakota State vs. Montana	Montana -1.5	-118 @ FanDuel	10.5%	64.6%
Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan	Western Michigan -1.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.8%	58.2%
Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan	Western Michigan ML	-120 @ BetMGM	5.6%	60.1%
South Dakota State vs. Montana	Montana ML	-140 @ FanDuel	4.5%	62.9%
Rhode Island vs. UC Davis	Over 56.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.7%
South Dakota vs. Mercer	South Dakota ML	+180 @ BetMGM	4.2%	40%
Georgia vs. Alabama	Alabama ML	+105 @ BetMGM	3.6%	52.4%
Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin	Under 49.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	3.5%	55.9%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• South Dakota vs. Mercer (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Villanova vs. Lehigh (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Brigham Young vs. Texas Tech (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Illinois State vs. North Dakota State (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
• North Dakota vs. Tarleton State (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin (2:00PM ET, Saturday)
• South Dakota State vs. Montana (2:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Yale vs. Montana State (2:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Prairie View vs. Jackson State (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 6, 2025, featuring plays such as Montana -1.5 and Western Michigan -1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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