Browns vs. Raiders prediction: Las Vegas favored to win in NFL Week 12, 2025

NFL Week 12 action continues on Sunday at 4:05PM ET as the Cleveland Browns take on the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Raiders as the most likely winner of the Browns vs. Raiders game.

This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Browns vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Browns-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Browns and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Raiders a 61% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Raiders winning 19-17.

According to our model, the Browns (+3.5) have a 63% chance of covering the spread, while the 36.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 12 straight up picks.

Browns vs. Raiders odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Browns	Raiders
Spread	+3.5 (-125)	-3.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+140	-162
Total	o36.5 (-104)	u36.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Browns vs. Raiders picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Browns +3.5	-125
Moneyline	Raiders	-162
Total	Over 36.5	-104

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns +3.5 at the spread.

Browns vs. Raiders TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Raiders?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 12, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Raiders.

Our projections give Jeanty a 48.5% chance of getting in for six at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 14.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Quinshon Judkins (RB)	48.2%
Cedric Tillman (WR)	25.7%
David Njoku (TE)	22.9%
Harold Fannin (TE)	22.8%
Jerry Jeudy (WR)	17.5%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	48.5%
Brock Bowers (TE)	37.4%
Tre Tucker (WR)	30.9%
Tyler Lockett (WR)	20.3%
Raheem Mostert (RB)	16.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

Player	First TD Probability
Quinshon Judkins (RB)	12.0%
Cedric Tillman (WR)	5.4%
David Njoku (TE)	4.8%
Harold Fannin (TE)	4.7%
Jerry Jeudy (WR)	3.5%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	14.7%
Brock Bowers (TE)	10.3%
Tre Tucker (WR)	8.2%
Tyler Lockett (WR)	5.0%
Raheem Mostert (RB)	4.1%

Browns vs Raiders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 12 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Shedeur Sanders is projected to have a quiet game with 172 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 197 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Shedeur Sanders (CLE)	172
Geno Smith (LV)	197

Browns rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Quinshon Judkins	70
Shedeur Sanders	18
Dylan Sampson	10

Raiders rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ashton Jeanty	63
Raheem Mostert	14
Geno Smith	12

Browns receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Jerry Jeudy	39
Harold Fannin	34
Cedric Tillman	28
David Njoku	25
Isaiah Bond	15

Raiders receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brock Bowers	59
Tre Tucker	42
Tyler Lockett	26
Michael Mayer	25
Ashton Jeanty	20

Browns vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Raiders and Browns at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
• Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Raiders, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 12 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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