Citadel vs. Mercer prediction: Why Mercer is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/7/2026]

Mercer will square off with Citadel in men's college basketball action at Hawkins Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Mercer as the most likely winner of the Citadel vs. Mercer game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Citadel vs. Mercer prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Citadel and Mercer 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mercer a 93% chance of beating Citadel. Our predicted final score has Mercer winning 83-66.

According to our model, Mercer (-16.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 147.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Citadel vs. Mercer odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Citadel vs. Mercer picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: