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Read Article Reds vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros matchup.
The Houston Astros will face the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Daikin Park on Sunday, commencing at 2:10PM ET.
Ronel Blanco (2-3, 4.98 ERA) will get the ball for the Astros, pitting him against Chase Petty (0-1, 34.71 ERA) for the Reds.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cincinnati-Houston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Astros with a win probability of 59%, while the Reds have 41%."
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Reds vs. Astros predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Astros a 59% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 6:28PM, May 11
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Chase Petty 0-1, 34.71 ERA
Ronel Blanco 2-3, 4.98 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Reds vs. Astros Odds [5/11/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+150) |
| Moneyline | +125 | -144 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Reds vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Reds vs. Astros matchup is on the run line.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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Reds vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Reds at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 2:10PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 2:10PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Daikin Park
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Reds vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cincinnati vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
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Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Reds on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Reds vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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