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Read Article Reds vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [5/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Friday's Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros matchup.
The Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds will lock horns in MLB action at Daikin Park on Friday, starting at 8:10PM ET.
The Astros will start Hunter Brown (5-1, 1.67 ERA), up against Nick Martinez (1-3, 4.19 ERA) for the Reds.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Cincinnati-Houston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Astros' chance of winning is 64%, while the Reds' is 36%."
For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Reds vs. Astros predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASEBALL Get Dimers Pro Astros vs. Reds Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Astros a 64% chance of defeating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:30AM, May 10
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Nick Martinez 1-3, 4.19 ERA
Hunter Brown 5-1, 1.67 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Reds vs. Astros Odds [5/9/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (+114) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -185 |
| Total | o7.5 (+100) | u7.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Reds vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Reds vs. Astros matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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Reds vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Reds at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 8:10PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
- Time: 8:10PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Venue: Daikin Park
Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Reds vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cincinnati vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
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Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Reds on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Reds vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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