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Read Article Reds vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [6/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Monday's Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox matchup.
The Boston Red Sox and Cincinnati Reds will lock horns in MLB action at Fenway Park on Monday, starting at 7:10PM ET.
The Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (7-4, 2.06 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Chase Burns (0-0, 5.40 ERA) for the Reds.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Reds-Red Sox game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Red Sox are likely to win, with a probability of 63%, compared to the Reds' 37%."
For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Reds vs. Red Sox predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASEBALL Get Dimers Pro Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 63% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:29PM, Jun 30
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Chase Burns 0-0, 5.40 ERA
Garrett Crochet 7-4, 2.06 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Reds vs. Red Sox Odds [6/30/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-140) | -1.5 (+125) |
| Moneyline | +145 | -172 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Reds vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Reds vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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Reds vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Reds at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday, June 30, 2025
- Time: 7:10PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Reds vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Reds vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
- Stay informed with where online sports betting is currently legal and which betting sites are safest to use
- Boost your success with strategies to win at sports betting and explore why MLB is one of the best leagues to bet on
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Reds on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Reds vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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