Yankees vs. Guardians prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [6/9/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians predictions for MLB Tuesday.

The Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Progressive Field on Tuesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Guardians will have Slade Cecconi (3-5, 4.92 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Yankees have opted for Gerrit Cole (1-1, 2.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Yankees vs. Guardians game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Guardians prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Yankees a 56.4% chance of defeating the Guardians.
According to our model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 55.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.5% chance of going over.
Yankees vs. Guardians odds [6/9/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+120) | +1.5 (-143) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +115 |
| Total | o8.5 (-110) | u8.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Guardians picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +120 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | -134 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Guardians game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Guardians and Yankees at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Progressive Field
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 56.4% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



