White Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Monday.

Chicago White Sox-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB prediction for Monday, June 29, 2026.

The Baltimore Orioles will square off with the Chicago White Sox in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday, starting at 6:35 PM ET.

Shane Baz (4-8, 4.31 ERA) will start on the mound for the Orioles, while the White Sox have opted for Sean Burke (5-4, 3.71 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of the White Sox vs. Orioles game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

White Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the White Sox and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 57.8% chance of defeating the White Sox.

According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 58.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over,.

 

White Sox vs. Orioles odds [6/29/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type White Sox Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-179) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +114 -134
Total o9.5 (+100) u9.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

White Sox vs. Orioles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Orioles -1.5 +155
Moneyline Orioles -134
Total Over 9.5 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

White Sox vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB action between the Orioles and White Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to start at 6:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 57.8% win probability, will likely beat the White Sox in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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