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Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Chicago Fire vs D.C. United predictions for MLS Saturday.
Chicago and D.C. United are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Soldier Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Chicago as the most likely winner of the Chicago vs. D.C. United game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Chicago and D.C. United 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 64.1% chance of Chicago winning, a 15.2% chance for D.C. United, and a 20.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chicago | D.C. United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -170 | +480 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago | -170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -130 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chicago to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Chicago win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHI 2-0 DCU | 11.5% |
| CHI 1-0 DCU | 11.4% |
| CHI 1-1 DCU | 9.8% |
Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Chicago and D.C. United in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Fire vs. D.C. United
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
World Cup 2026 watch: Chris Brady (USA)
Chicago goalkeeper Chris Brady is a key name to follow for USMNT fans this year as anticipation grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Brady's form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chicago has a 64.1% win probability on Saturday, D.C. United has a 15.2% win probability, and there is a 20.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chicago vs. D.C. United insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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