D.C. United vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. Chicago MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
2
1
Mar 14, 8:30 PM ET Soldier Field
Chicago
Mar 14, 8:30 PM ET Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
H. Cuypers (pen.) (81')
Soccer ball icon
M. Peltola (84')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • D.C. United
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo (pen.)
2-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: S. Nealis replaces B. Servania
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. Borso replaces L. Barroso
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic replaces J. Dean
86'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces Peglow
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by M. Peltola
1-1
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers (pen.)
0-1
78'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces Gabriel Pirani
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Waterman replaces J. Elliott
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces R. Lod
64'
Yellow Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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D.C. United vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +480, Chicago -160, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+117)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 15.2%
  • Chicago: 64.1%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-2 Chicago (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win D.C. United vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.1%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on D.C. United vs. Chicago, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.