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Read Article Cubs vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Atlanta Braves will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Truist Park on Thursday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.
Chris Sale (6-2, 2.20 ERA) will be on the bump for the Braves, while the Cubs have opted for Ben Brown (1-1, 1.82 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Braves as the most likely winner of the Cubs vs. Braves game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Braves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Cubs and Braves, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Braves a 64% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Cubs vs. Braves odds [5/14/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+114) |
| Moneyline | +166 | -186 |
| Total | o7.5 (-102) | u7.5 (-113) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Braves -1.5 | +114 |
| Moneyline | Braves | -186 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Braves and Cubs at Truist Park is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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