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Hornets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Charlotte is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [1/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and Charlotte Hornets are scheduled to meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Wednesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hornets as the most likely winner of the Hornets vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Jaren Jackson, Santi Aldama and Cedric Coward, while the Hornets will rely on Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel and LaMelo Ball.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hornets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Hornets and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hornets a 57% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Hornets winning 115-113.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Hornets and Grizzlies each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Hornets vs. Grizzlies odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hornets | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-108) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +116 |
| Total | o231.5 (-108) | u231.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hornets vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hornets -2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Hornets | -135 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 231.5 total points.
Hornets vs. Grizzlies player props
Looking for Hornets vs. Grizzlies NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Brandon Miller is expected to lead the Hornets with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 20 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hornets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hornets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 41 |
| Kon Knueppel | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| LaMelo Ball | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| Miles Bridges | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Collin Sexton | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 36 |
| Santi Aldama | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Cam Spencer | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 33 |
Hornets vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Hornets at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Hornets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Wednesday, with Brandon Miller projected for a game-high 41 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hornets vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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