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Hornets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hornets vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
112
97
Jan 29, 1AM FedExForum
Jan 29, 1AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 36 | 26 | 50 | 0 | 112 |
Grizzlies | 28 | 27 | 42 | 0 | 97 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hornets | 36 | 26 | 50 | 0 | 112 |
Grizzlies | 28 | 27 | 42 | 0 | 97 |
Q4 00:04 GG Jackson makes two point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
Q4 00:44 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Tre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:13 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Cam Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:46 Hornets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Hornets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
112-97
Hornets turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
112-97
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Tre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-97
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Liam McNeeley defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
112-97
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-97
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
109-88
Sion James defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
107-88
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Tre Mann, Liam McNeeley, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Cam Spencer)
Cam Spencer turnover (bad pass) (Moussa Diabate steals)
+3
Moussa Diabate makes three point jump shot
112-97
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Sion James turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-97
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Collin Sexton personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-97
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Liam McNeeley, Sion James, Josh Green)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-97
Collin Sexton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
John Konchar offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Wells shooting foul (Moussa Diabate draws the foul)
+1
Moussa Diabate makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-97
Moussa Diabate misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Collin Sexton, Liam McNeeley, Sion James)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-97
+2
LaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
101-82
Collin Sexton misses two point jump shot
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Collin Sexton, Sion James)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Jock Landale personal foul (Moussa Diabate draws the foul)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Collin Sexton offensive foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
Collin Sexton turnover (offensive foul)
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Collin Sexton)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar, Jock Landale)
+2
John Konchar makes two point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
112-97
LaMelo Ball turnover (John Konchar steals)
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses two point driving layup
+2
Moussa Diabate makes two point jump shot
99-80
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)
Hornets personal foul
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Kon Knueppel gains possession)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
John Konchar turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
112-97
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Collin Sexton defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Moussa Diabate makes two point jump shot
112-97
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Moussa Diabate personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-97
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Vince Williams Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
93-79
LaMelo Ball personal foul (Vince Williams Jr. draws the foul)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
112-97
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
John Konchar defensive rebound
Collin Sexton misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
112-97
Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Vince Williams Jr. misses heave shot
Hornets lineup change (Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Collin Sexton)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, John Konchar)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
93-79
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. technical foul
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
112-97
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
+1
Brandon Miller makes technical free throw 1 of 1
112-97
Brandon Miller misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
85-75
Sion James misses two point tip layup
Sion James offensive rebound
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grant Williams misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
112-97
+2
Collin Sexton makes two point jump shot
112-97
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Ryan Kalkbrenner turnover (out of bounds step)
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Collin Sexton, Sion James)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., John Konchar, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
107-88
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
107-88
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Hornets defensive rebound
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Collin Sexton, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Collin Sexton, Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Grant Williams misses two point jump shot
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Grant Williams misses two point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Hornets turnover (shot clock violation)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Hornets offensive rebound
Brandon Miller misses two point jump shot
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
John Konchar offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar)
Hornets turnover
Hornets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale)
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
107-88
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
107-88
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
107-88
Hornets turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Ryan Kalkbrenner makes two point jump shot
101-82
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
93-79
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-62
Kon Knueppel personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-82
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point jump shot
93-79
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
93-79
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
93-79
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point jump shot
93-79
Moussa Diabate turnover
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Collin Sexton)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
93-79
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
LaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)
68-56
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
+3
Miles Bridges makes three point jump shot
65-56
Hornets defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Miles Bridges gains possession)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets turnover
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-62
Hornets turnover
Jaylen Wells personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
62-55
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
End of 1st Half.
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
59-55
Hornets personal foul
Hornets offensive rebound
Hornets turnover (shot clock violation)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
59-52
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jock Landale blocks Hornets's two point jump shot
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
57-52
Hornets turnover
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Hornets violation
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Josh Green turnover
Josh Green offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Miles Bridges makes two point jump shot
57-50
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
55-50
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabate, Sion James, Josh Green)
+2
Moussa Diabate makes two point jump shot
55-48
Grizzlies turnover
John Konchar offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
57-50
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
55-50
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Kon Knueppel assists)
51-46
+3
GG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
48-46
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges turnover (lost ball)
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses two point jump shot
Moussa Diabate turnover
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
51-46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
Grizzlies turnover
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
53-48
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
42-43
Vince Williams Jr. offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Brandon Miller makes two point driving finger roll layup
42-40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, John Konchar)
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel)
Hornets 60 second timeout
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
40-40
Hornets turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Hornets turnover (John Konchar steals)
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Collin Sexton, Josh Green)
+1
Collin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-37
Collin Sexton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
38-37
John Konchar defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
38-34
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
38-31
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
36-31
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Kon Knueppel, Collin Sexton, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
36-28
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-27
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-28
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Moussa Diabate, Collin Sexton, Sion James, Josh Green)
Hornets personal foul
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-26
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
34-25
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
34-22
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
31-22
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-20
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
31-17
Hornets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., John Konchar, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
29-17
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
29-15
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Collin Sexton, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 3
27-13
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 3
28-13
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 3 of 3
29-13
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
26-13
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot
26-11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (offensive foul)
Hornets lineup change (Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Sion James, Josh Green, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, John Konchar)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive foul (Brandon Miller draws the foul)
+3
Kon Knueppel makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)
23-11
+2
Jock Landale makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
20-11
Jock Landale defensive rebound
LaMelo Ball misses two point stepback jump shot
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 2 | G. Williams | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 4 | S. James | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| C | 11 | R. Kalkbrenner | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 23 | T. Mann | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 33 | L. McNeeley | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 23 | C. Coward | 17 | 2 | 5 |
| F | 18 | O. Prosper | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 0 | J. Wells | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 4 | 0 | 6 |
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Hornets vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hornets vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hornets favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hornets -132, Grizzlies +118
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hornets: 57%
- Grizzlies: 43%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hornets 116-114 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hornets a win probability of 57%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hornets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hornets vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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