Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Timberwolves
118
105
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 13 | 56 | 12 | 118 |
Mavericks | 31 | 9 | 52 | 13 | 105 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Timberwolves
- Mavericks
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 13 | 56 | 12 | 118 |
Mavericks | 31 | 9 | 52 | 13 | 105 |
Q4 00:22 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Julius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:21 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Julius Randle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)
Q4 3:00 P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Max Christie assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Naz Reid makes two point jump shot118-105
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
- Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Max Christie misses three point jump shot
- Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot116-105
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Julius Randle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)118-105
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Max Christie assists)118-105
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot116-105
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks violation
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Brandon Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Mike Conley draws the foul)
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Max Christie)
- +3Mike Conley makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)118-105
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- +2Naz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mike Conley assists)118-105
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Jaden McDaniels misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
- Naz Reid turnover (Max Christie steals)
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot118-105
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot118-105
- Mike Conley personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2106-92
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot106-91
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams)
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Naz Reid makes two point jump shot118-105
- Mavericks turnover
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Brandon Williams personal foul
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Rudy Gobert misses two point layup
- +2Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot118-105
- Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
- Donte DiVincenzo turnover (lost ball)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels)
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot118-105
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)106-92
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-105
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point driving layup (Brandon Williams assists)101-89
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-105
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 297-81
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- +3Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot106-92
- Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 294-80
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-105
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington blocks Joan Beringer's two point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
- +2Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot106-92
- Joan Beringer offensive rebound
- Instant replay
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Dwight Powell personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2118-105
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Max Christie)
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)106-92
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Caleb Martin offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-105
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- Dwight Powell personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
- Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Timberwolves personal foul
- P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 1 of 288-73
- Dwight Powell personal foul (Joan Beringer draws the foul)
- Anthony Edwards misses two point running pullup jump shot
- Joan Beringer offensive rebound
- Jaden Hardy misses technical free throw 1 of 1
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- +1Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +3Naz Reid makes three point jump shot106-92
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- Naz Reid turnover (traveling)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot106-92
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround bank jump shot75-63
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- Naz Reid personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Joan Beringer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1118-105
- Naji Marshall shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot75-63
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 175-63
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-63
- Max Christie personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 275-63
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2118-105
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point running finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)75-63
- Anthony Edwards misses two point driving layup
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-61
- +2Naz Reid makes two point jump shot75-59
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2118-105
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot75-59
- Mike Conley offensive rebound
- Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
- Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 275-63
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Rudy Gobert personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
- Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +3Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)75-63
- Max Christie turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
- +2Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot75-63
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot75-63
- Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks turnover (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
- Max Christie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2118-105
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Daniel Gafford personal foul
- Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point driving layup
- +3Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)118-105
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +3Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot63-52
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot75-63
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-105
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot118-105
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- End of 1st Half.
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 250-40
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 250-40
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Donte DiVincenzo makes two point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)50-40
- Mavericks turnover
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 250-40
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 250-40
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot75-63
- +2Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot63-52
- Mavericks turnover
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Max Christie misses three point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 263-52
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 263-52
- Joan Beringer personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves violation
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 263-52
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 263-52
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 250-40
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 250-40
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Dwight Powell offensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot63-52
- Naz Reid offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot63-52
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot63-52
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot63-52
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot50-40
- Dwight Powell turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- +2Bones Hyland makes two point driving reverse layup50-40
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 250-40
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 250-40
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- Ryan Nembhard personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot50-40
- Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- Jaden Hardy misses two point pullup jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot46-36
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Miles Kelly steals)
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Miles Kelly defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot46-36
- Miles Kelly defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Joan Beringer)
- P.J. Washington personal foul (Joan Beringer draws the foul)
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Joan Beringer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 237-31
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall)
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Bones Hyland defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
- +2Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot37-31
- Mavericks turnover
- Naz Reid turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point running pullup jump shot
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- Naz Reid misses three point pullup jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot37-31
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +1Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 146-36
- Mavericks personal foul
- +2Bones Hyland makes two point jump shot (Joan Beringer assists)33-29
- Joan Beringer offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland, Joan Beringer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy)
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 237-31
- +2Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot31-28
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Dwight Powell offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
- +3Mike Conley makes three point jump shot37-31
- Joan Beringer offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Brandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)
- Brandon Williams defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot37-31
- +3Naz Reid makes three point jump shot37-31
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot26-28
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 226-28
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 226-28
- Mavericks personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Joan Beringer)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 221-23
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Naz Reid shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 221-24
- +2Naz Reid makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Mike Conley assists)21-22
- +2Jaden Hardy makes two point driving floating bank jump shot19-22
- +2Anthony Edwards makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19-20
- +2Dwight Powell makes two point putback layup17-20
- Dwight Powell offensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses two point driving layup
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Jaden McDaniels)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall blocks Julius Randle's two point putback layup
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Mike Conley misses three point running jump shot
- Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses two point pullup jump shot
- +3Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)17-18
- +2Julius Randle makes two point jump shot17-15
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 215-15
- Mike Conley shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
- Jaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 215-14
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +2Julius Randle makes two point stepback jump shot15-13
- Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point driving reverse layup
- Dwight Powell defensive rebound
- Anthony Edwards misses three point running jump shot
- P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
- Naji Marshall offensive rebound
- Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Julius Randle shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 213-13
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Naji Marshall shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Dwight Powell turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Edwards steals)
- Dwight Powell offensive rebound
- Dwight Powell misses two point tip layup
- Dwight Powell offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot0-0
- Max Christie misses two point floating jump shot
- +2Julius Randle makes two point pullup jump shot13-12
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)11-12
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington blocks Anthony Edwards's two point driving layup
- +2Caleb Martin makes two point driving layup11-10
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 211-8
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 210-8
- Dwight Powell shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
- Rudy Gobert misses two point driving layup
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Max Christie misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
- Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 28-8
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 29-8
- Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Daniel Gafford personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point dunk7-8
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point layup
- Naji Marshall offensive rebound
- Rudy Gobert blocks Daniel Gafford's two point putback layup
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point running pullup jump shot
- Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Gafford steals)
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point layup (P.J. Washington assists)7-5
- Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 17-6
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Anthony Edwards misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Max Christie misses three point jump shot
- +3Jaden McDaniels makes three point stepback jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)7-3
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 24-3
- Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Max Christie misses three point running pullup jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Donte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot
- Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gobert steals)
- +2Julius Randle makes two point driving dunk4-2
- P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Julius Randle steals)
- Rudy Gobert misses two point driving dunk
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)2-2
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Jaden McDaniels misses two point driving layup
- Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
- +2Julius Randle makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)2-0
- P.J. Washington turnover (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
- P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
- Timberwolves delay of game violation
- Rudy Gobert vs. Daniel Gafford (Caleb Martin gains possession)
- Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
- Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -325, Mavericks +275
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 75%
- Mavericks: 25%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 118-110 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 75%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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