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Central Conn vs. Wagner prediction: Why Central Connecticut State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Central Conn vs Wagner predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Wagner and Central Conn will meet in men's college basketball action at Spiro Sports Center on Thursday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Central Connecticut State as the most likely winner of the Central Conn vs. Wagner game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Central Conn vs. Wagner prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Central Conn and Wagner 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Central Connecticut State a 61% chance of defeating Wagner. Our predicted final score has Central Connecticut State winning 69-67.
According to our model, Central Connecticut State (-2.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 136.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Central Conn vs. Wagner odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Central Conn | Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +132 |
| Total | o136.5 (-108) | u136.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Central Conn vs. Wagner picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wagner +2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Central Connecticut State | -148 |
| Total | Over 136.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Central Connecticut State to win.
Central Conn vs. Wagner game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between Wagner and Central Conn at Spiro Sports Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Central Connecticut State vs. Wagner
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Spiro Sports Center
Conclusion
We predict Central Connecticut State, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Wagner on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Central Connecticut State vs. Wagner insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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