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Celta Vigo vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Celta Vigo vs Alaves predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Celta Vigo and Alaves will lock horns in La Liga on Sunday, starting at 11:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Celta Vigo as the most likely winner of the Celta Vigo vs. Alaves game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Celta Vigo vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Celta Vigo and Alaves 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 53.1% chance of Celta Vigo winning, a 20.6% chance for Alaves, and a 26.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Celta Vigo vs. Alaves odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Celta Vigo | Alaves | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +380 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +132 | -162 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celta Vigo vs. Alaves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alaves | +380 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +132 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Celta Vigo vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Celta Vigo win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CLV 1-0 ALV | 14.8% |
| CLV 1-1 ALV | 12.1% |
| CLV 2-0 ALV | 11% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.3% chance of both Celta Vigo and Alaves finding the net and a 56.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Celta Vigo vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga matchup between Celta Vigo and Alaves is scheduled to commence in the United States at 11:15 AM ET.
- Who: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 11:15 AM ET/8:15AM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Luca de la Torre (USA)
Celta Vigo midfielder Luca de la Torre is one to watch for USMNT fans this season as excitement builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Torre's La Liga form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Celta Vigo has a 53.1% win probability on Sunday, Alaves has a 20.6% win probability, and there is a 26.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celta Vigo vs. Alaves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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