Celta Vigo vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Alaves La Liga match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
4
3
Celta Vigo
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
F. Jutgla (19')
Soccer ball icon
H. Alvarez (27')
Soccer ball icon
F. Jutgla (37')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (45')
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A. Perez (50')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (74')
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A. Rebbach (78')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: V. Koski replaces T. Martinez
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces J. Aidoo
  4. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by A. Rebbach, assisted by V. Parada
    4-3
  5. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Rebbach
    3-3
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces J. El Abdellaoui
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces B. Iglesias
  8. 65'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lopez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  9. 56'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
  10. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces A. Nunez
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces O. Mingueza
  12. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by A. Perez, assisted by T. Martinez
    2-3
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces P. Ibanez
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces J. Pacheco
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces C. Alena
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: I. Diabate replaces L. Boye
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Perez
    1-3
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  19. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by H. Sotelo
    0-3
  20. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by H. Alvarez, assisted by F. Jutgla
    0-2
  21. 22'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
  22. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by J. Rodriguez
    0-1

Celta Vigo vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo +100, Alaves +335, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-145)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 51.8%
  • Alaves: 22.2%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.8%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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