Celta Vigo vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Alaves La Liga match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
4
3
Mar 22, 11:15 AM ET
Celta Vigo
Mar 22, 11:15 AM ET
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
F. Jutgla (19')
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H. Alvarez (27')
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F. Jutgla (37')
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T. Martinez (45')
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A. Perez (50')
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T. Martinez (74')
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A. Rebbach (78')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: V. Koski replaces T. Martinez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces J. Aidoo
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by A. Rebbach, assisted by V. Parada
4-3
74'
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Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Rebbach
3-3
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces J. El Abdellaoui
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces B. Iglesias
65'
Yellow Card
F. Lopez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
56'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces A. Nunez
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces O. Mingueza
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by A. Perez, assisted by T. Martinez
2-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces P. Ibanez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces J. Pacheco
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces C. Alena
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Diabate replaces L. Boye
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Perez
1-3
45'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
37'
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Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by H. Sotelo
0-3
27'
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Goal scored for Celta Vigo by H. Alvarez, assisted by F. Jutgla
0-2
22'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by J. Rodriguez
0-1

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Celta Vigo vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo +100, Alaves +335, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-145)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 51.8%
  • Alaves: 22.2%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.8%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Celta Vigo vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.