Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
Camp Nou
Barcelona
Camp Nou
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
R. Araujo (24')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: X. Espart replaces J. Cancelo
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Rashford replaces Lamine Yamal
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces F. Perez
  5. 72'
    Yellow Card
    P. Cubarsi (Barcelona) cautioned
  6. 67'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  7. 65'
    Yellow Card
    F. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Casado replaces M. Bernal
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: D. Olmo replaces Fermin
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
  11. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces P. Diaz
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces R. Lewandowski
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces C. Martin
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces O. Valentin
  15. 34'
    Yellow Card
    O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  16. 26'
    Yellow Card
    Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) cautioned
  17. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Araujo, assisted by J. Cancelo
    0-1
  18. 8'
    Yellow Card
    Raphinha (Barcelona) cautioned

Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Camp Nou

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -450, Rayo Vallecano +1100, draw +650
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-333/+250)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 76.2%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 9.3%
  • Draw: 14.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 2-0 Rayo Vallecano (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 76.2%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 2-0 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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