Buffalo vs. UMBC prediction: Buffalo favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/9/2025]

UMBC will square off with Buffalo in men's college basketball action at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 5:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Buffalo as the most likely winner of the Buffalo vs. UMBC game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Buffalo vs. UMBC prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between Buffalo and UMBC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Buffalo a 55% chance of beating UMBC. Our predicted final score has Buffalo winning 74-73.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Buffalo and UMBC each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Buffalo vs. UMBC odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Buffalo vs. UMBC picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: