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Buffalo vs. UMBC prediction: Buffalo favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Buffalo vs UMBC predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 5:00PM ET as Buffalo locks horns with UMBC in men's college basketball action at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Buffalo as the most likely winner of the Buffalo vs. UMBC game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Buffalo vs. UMBC prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Buffalo and UMBC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Buffalo a 61% chance of defeating UMBC. Our predicted final score has Buffalo winning 75-72.
According to our model, UMBC (+3.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
Buffalo vs. UMBC odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Buffalo | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-108) | +3.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +136 |
| Total | o145.5 (-105) | u145.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Buffalo vs. UMBC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC +3.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Buffalo | -142 |
| Total | Over 145.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is UMBC +3.5 at the spread.
Buffalo vs. UMBC game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between UMBC and Buffalo at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo vs. UMBC
- Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
- Time: 5:00PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena
Conclusion
We predict Buffalo, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat UMBC on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Buffalo vs. UMBC insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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