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Buffalo vs. Ball State prediction: Buffalo favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/11/2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Buffalo vs Ball State predictions for college basketball Wednesday.

Buffalo-Ball State Predictions and Game Preview.
Buffalo vs. Ball State men's college basketball prediction for Wednesday, February 11, 2026.

Ball State will take on Buffalo in men's college basketball action at John E. Worthen Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Buffalo as the most likely winner of the Buffalo vs. Ball State game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Buffalo vs. Ball State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Buffalo and Ball State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Buffalo a 56% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Buffalo winning 71-70.

According to our model, Buffalo (+1.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 140.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Buffalo vs. Ball State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Buffalo Ball State
Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline +100 -118
Total o140.5 (-114) u140.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Buffalo vs. Ball State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Buffalo +1.5 -110
Moneyline Buffalo +100
Total Under 140.5 -106

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Buffalo to win.

 

Buffalo vs. Ball State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Ball State and Buffalo at John E. Worthen Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Buffalo vs. Ball State
  • Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: John E. Worthen Arena

Conclusion

We predict Buffalo, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Ball State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Buffalo vs. Ball State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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