Bills vs. Ravens Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for SNF Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Buffalo Bills-Baltimore Ravens Predictions and Game Preview.
M&T Bank Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens this Sunday.

The Baltimore Ravens will take on the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 4 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bills-Ravens game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Ravens with a win probability of 59%, while the Bills have 41%."

Bills vs. Ravens Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Ravens and Bills at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Bills vs. Ravens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ravens vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Bills vs. Ravens Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Bills and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Ravens a 59% chance of defeating the Bills in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 25-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bills and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

In addition to our Bills vs. Ravens predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

Bills vs. Ravens Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bills Ravens
Spread +2.5 (-102) -2.5 (-115)
Moneyline +120 -135
Total o47.5 (-110) u47.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bills vs. Ravens Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Bills vs. Ravens matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Ravens TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB is a 58.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player First TD Probability
Josh Allen 9.8%
James Cook 8.6%
Khalil Shakir 6.1%

Baltimore Ravens

Player First TD Probability
Derrick Henry 15.0%
Lamar Jackson 7.8%
Zay Flowers 7.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen 42.8%
James Cook 38.6%
Khalil Shakir 28.3%

Baltimore Ravens

Player Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry 58.0%
Zay Flowers 36.7%
Lamar Jackson 34.8%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Bills vs Ravens Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Ravens. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bills-Ravens page now to access every player prop projection.

Bills vs. Ravens Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to throw for more yards than the Ravens' Lamar Jackson.

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bills.

Player Position
James Cook RB
Josh Allen QB
Ray Davis RB

Ravens Rushing

Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Justice Hill are expected to lead the Ravens in rushing yards.

Player Position
Derrick Henry RB
Lamar Jackson QB
Justice Hill RB

Bills Receiving

Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel and James Cook are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bills.

Player Position
Khalil Shakir WR
Dalton Kincaid TE
Keon Coleman WR
Curtis Samuel WR
James Cook RB

Ravens Receiving

Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Rashod Bateman and Justice Hill are projected to lead the Ravens in receiving yards.

Player Position
Zay Flowers WR
Mark Andrews TE
Isaiah Likely TE
Rashod Bateman WR
Justice Hill RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Bills in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props and futures articles.

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