Boise State vs. UNLV prediction: Boise State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/13/2026]

UNLV will square off with Boise State, in what is expected to be a tight Men's College Basketball game, at Thomas & Mack Center on Tuesday, commencing at 11:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Boise State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over UNLV.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Boise State vs. UNLV matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Boise State vs. UNLV prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Boise State and UNLV 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Boise State a 52% chance of beating UNLV. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 74-73.

According to our model, UNLV (+2.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Boise State vs. UNLV odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boise State vs. UNLV picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: