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Boise State vs. San Diego State prediction: San Diego State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Boise State vs San Diego State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
San Diego State and Boise State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Viejas Arena on Saturday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts San Diego State as the most likely winner of the Boise State vs. San Diego State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Boise State vs. San Diego State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Boise State and San Diego State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives San Diego State a 69% chance of defeating Boise State. Our predicted final score has San Diego State winning 71-66.
According to our model, San Diego State (-4.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 138.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Boise State vs. San Diego State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Boise State | San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -205 |
| Total | o138.5 (-115) | u138.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boise State vs. San Diego State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | San Diego State -4.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | San Diego State | -205 |
| Total | Under 138.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Diego State to win.
Boise State vs. San Diego State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between San Diego State and Boise State at Viejas Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boise State vs. San Diego State
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Viejas Arena
Conclusion
We predict San Diego State, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Boise State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Boise State vs. San Diego State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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