If you've been tailing our MLB picks over the past two days, you might be ready to retire early. We are 6-0 on our last two daily pick articles, with two parlays cashing in at big odds. We're ready to roll into Tuesday.
It's Tuesday April 20, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.
With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬
BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 8 with FanDuel Sportsbook (-106)
📈 55.8% probability
Both teams have been trending toward the under in recent games, but our data suggests that form line to flip on its head tonight.
Both probable starting pitchers, Matt Harvey and Nick Neidhart have given up some high numbers when it comes to hits per 9 inning. It hasn't exactly translated to a lot of runs yet, but those kind of numbers are not sustainable and not conducive with low scoring baseball. We're going the Over.
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BET: 🔥 San Francisco Giants at the run line (-143) with William Hill Sportsbook
📈 61.8% probability
The Giants are flying high at the moment after chalking up two consecutive shut outs of the Marlins on Sunday and Phillies yesterday. With a team in the kind of form SF are in right now, the moneyline play at + odds sure is tempting, but the data is telling us to take the insurance of the run line.
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BET: 🔥 Padres at the moneyline with BetMGM (-115)
📈 54.0% probability
After dropping two of the three games in their weekend series against the Dodgers and another one again last night against the Brewers, the Padres need to get things back on track quickly. With another chance to atone against the Brewers tonight, the current -115 odds on offer for a team who we know can produce in big moments is too tasty to turn down.
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🔥 Orioles/Marlins o8
🔥 Giants +1.5
🔥 Padres ML
💰 Parlay @ FanDuel Sportsbook (+517)
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