Best bets today for all sports: Friday's picks include Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov tennis play [9/11/2026]

Tennis: Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Zverev Under 38.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Tennis matchup: Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov (3:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 38.5 total games in Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Zverev at -120 odds in their matchup at US Open Men Singles 2026. A 62.1% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

MLB: Orioles vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 55.4%
• MLB matchup: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Orioles vs. Blue Jays over 8.5 runs carries a 7.3% edge and a probability of 55.4% at +108 odds, according to our model.

MLB: Royals vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 55.9%
• MLB Matchup: Royals vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Royals vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 6.8% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.

MLB: Mets vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 59.5%
• MLB Matchup: Mets vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 59.5% probability make Mets vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mets vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

MLB: Guardians vs. Twins Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 57.6%
• MLB Matchup: Guardians vs. Twins (8:10PM ET)

Guardians vs. Twins Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds presents a 5.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.

Liga MX: Pachuca vs. Atlante Over 2.5 goals (-122)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Liga MX Matchup: Pachuca vs. Atlante (11:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 2.5 goals in Pachuca vs. Atlante at -122 odds, supported by an edge of 5.5%.

NRL: Rabbitohs ML (-250)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 76.6%
• NRL Matchup: Knights vs. Rabbitohs (5:50AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Knights-Rabbitohs to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -250 odds. A 76.6% probability produces a 5.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NRL action.

Tennis: Alexander Zverev -5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Tennis Matchup: Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov (3:00PM ET)

A 4.8% edge on a 57.2% probability makes Alexander Zverev -5.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in this US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

MLB: Reds vs. BrewersOver 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 57.8%
• MLB Matchup: Reds vs. Brewers (7:45PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds. A 57.8% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's MLB matchup.

MLB: Twins ML (+111)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 52.3%
• MLB Matchup: Guardians vs. Twins (8:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Twins to defeat Guardians at +111 odds shows a 52.3% probability and a 4.6% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Friday, 9/11/2026

As of 2:00AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [9/11/2026]

• NRL: Knights vs. Rabbitohs (5:50AM ET, Friday)
• AFL: Cats vs. Dockers (6:10AM ET, Friday)
• La Liga: Valencia vs. Sevilla (3:00PM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Zverev (3:00PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Rockies vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Angels vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Richmond vs. North Carolina State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Norfolk State vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Villanova vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Ben Shelton vs. Frances Tiafoe (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for September 11, 2026, featuring plays such as under 38.5 total games in the Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Zverev matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.