Phillies vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
Braves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
- Phillies
- Braves
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Stubbs | DH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | T. Turner | SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. Harper | RF | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 4 | L. Arraez | 2B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 5 | A. Bohm | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 6 | B. Stott | 3B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 7 | J. Crawford | CF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | J. Realmuto | C | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | B. Marsh | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Baldwin | C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.100 |
| 2 | R. Acuña | RF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 3 | D. Fuentes | P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | M. Harris | CF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | M. Dubón | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.733 |
| 6 | O. Albies | 2B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | A. Riley | 3B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 1.400 |
| 8 | D. Smith | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | H. Kim | SS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Phillies vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Friday
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
- Time: 7:15PM ET
- Venue: Truist Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Phillies (+1.5, -133), Braves (-1.5, +127)
- Moneyline: Phillies +163, Braves -170
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+122/-127)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Phillies: 35.2%
- Braves: 64.8%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 35.2%, while the Braves have a win probability of 64.8%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Truist Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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