Puebla vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on September 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Puebla
1
0
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
L. Jimenez (90')
Red Card icon
M. Tomas (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by M. Tomas, assisted by A. Organista
    1-0
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    L. Jimenez (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces C. Baltazar
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Valencia replaces P. Pedraza
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: Lucas Camilo replaces B. Garnica
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: D. Leyva replaces L. Faravelli
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Torres Patino replaces M. Espindola
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: M. Tomas replaces K. Velasco
  9. 49'
    Yellow Card
    C. Baltazar (Puebla) cautioned
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces O. Gonzalez
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces M. Zaleta
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: I. Maestro replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Villa replaces F. Monarrez
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Vargas (Puebla) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Martinez (Necaxa) cautioned

Puebla vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +250, Necaxa +100, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/+124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 24.3%
  • Necaxa: 53.2%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 1-1 Necaxa (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Puebla vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.2%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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