Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [5/11/2025]

Barcelona will take on Real Madrid in La Liga action at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys on Sunday, beginning at 10:15AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Barcelona as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Barcelona-Real Madrid game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Barcelona a 51.6% chance of winning, Real Madrid a 27.2% chance, and a 21.2% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Barcelona vs. Real Madrid predictions page.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Barcelona and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 51.6% chance of Barcelona winning, a 27.2% chance for Real Madrid, and a 21.2% chance of a draw.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Barcelona	Real Madrid	Draw
Moneyline	-110	+250	+330

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Barcelona vs. Real Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Barcelona win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
FCB 2-1 MAD	9.1%
FCB 1-1 MAD	8.8%
FCB 2-2 MAD	6.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 67.4% chance that both teams scoring, and a 32.6% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's La Liga action between Barcelona and Real Madrid at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:15AM ET.

• Who: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 10:15AM ET/7:15AM PT
• Venue: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Barcelona vs. Real Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Real Madrid vs. Barcelona picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Barcelona has a 51.6% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 27.2% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Barcelona vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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