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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on May 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
3
4
May 11, 2:15PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
May 11, 2:15PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
E. Garcia (19')
L. Yamal (32')
Raphinha (34')
Raphinha (45')
K. Mbappe (pen.) (5')
K. Mbappe (14')
K. Mbappe (70')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
Substitution for Barcelona: Gavi replaces F. Torres
Substitution for Real Madrid: V. Munoz replaces Vinicius Junior
Pedri (Barcelona) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces Lucas
F. Lopez (Barcelona) cautioned
Substitution for Barcelona: H. Fort replaces E. Garcia
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Lopez replaces D. Olmo
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by Vinicius Junior
3-4
Substitution for Barcelona: A. Balde replaces G. Martin
Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces P. Cubarsi
I. Martinez (Barcelona) cautioned
R. Asencio (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces A. Guler
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces D. Ceballos
Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by F. Torres
2-4
R. Araujo (Barcelona) cautioned
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by Pedri
2-3
Goal scored for Barcelona by L. Yamal, assisted by F. Torres
2-2
F. Valverde (Real Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Barcelona by E. Garcia, assisted by F. Torres
2-1
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by Vinicius Junior
2-0
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
1-0
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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Barcelona -110, Real Madrid +260, Draw +330
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Barcelona: 51.6%
- Real Madrid: 27.2%
- Draw: 21.2%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 9%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Barcelona a win probability of 51.6%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 27.2%. The chance of a draw is 21.2%.
Summary
Our Barcelona vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.
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