Ravens vs. Steelers prediction: Why Baltimore is favored to win ‘SNF’ Week 18 [2026]

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens are scheduled to meet in Week 18 of the NFL season at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, starting at 8:20 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Ravens vs. Steelers game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ravens vs. Steelers prediction: Who will win ‘Sunday Night Football’?

Since our Ravens-Steelers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Ravens and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Ravens a 66% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 22-18.

According to our model, the Ravens (-4) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 18 straight up picks.

Ravens vs. Steelers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ravens	Steelers
Spread	-4 (-110)	+4 (-110)
Moneyline	-218	+194
Total	o41.5 (-110)	u41.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ravens vs. Steelers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Ravens -4	-110
Moneyline	Steelers	+194
Total	Under 41.5	-105

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Steelers to win.

Ravens vs. Steelers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Steelers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 18, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs. Steelers.

Our projections give Henry a 59.2% chance of scoring a TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the running back is a 16.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	59.2%
Mark Andrews (TE)	31.4%
Zay Flowers (WR)	30.3%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	20.3%
Lamar Jackson (QB)	18.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	35.5%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	34.6%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	22.5%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR)	19.0%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	16.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	16.5%
Mark Andrews (TE)	6.9%
Zay Flowers (WR)	6.6%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	4.2%
Lamar Jackson (QB)	3.7%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	8.8%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	8.5%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	5.1%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR)	4.2%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	3.7%

Ravens vs Steelers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Steelers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 18 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 208 passing yards, while the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 213 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Lamar Jackson (BAL)	208
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)	213

Ravens rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Derrick Henry	90
Lamar Jackson	33
Keaton Mitchell	22

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	52
Kenneth Gainwell	35
Aaron Rodgers	4

Ravens receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers	66
Mark Andrews	34
DeAndre Hopkins	27
Isaiah Likely	27
Rasheen Ali	12

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Pat Freiermuth	35
Kenneth Gainwell	33
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	33
Calvin Austin	29
Adam Thielen	27

Ravens vs. Steelers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 18 action between the Steelers and Ravens at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 18 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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