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Ravens vs. Packers prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers predictions for NFL Saturday.
The Green Bay Packers will take on the Baltimore Ravens in NFL Week 17 action at Lambeau Field on Saturday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of the Ravens vs. Packers game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Ravens vs. Packers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Ravens-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NFL game between the Ravens and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Packers a 62% chance of beating the Ravens in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 20-17.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Ravens and Packers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Ravens vs. Packers odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ravens | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-108) | -2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -130 |
| Total | o37.5 (-108) | u37.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ravens vs. Packers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Packers | -130 |
| Total | Over 37.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Packers to win.
Ravens vs. Packers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Packers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs. Packers.
Our projections give Henry a 62.1% chance of getting in for six at Lambeau Field, while the running back is a 13.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 62.1% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 30.0% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 28.7% |
| Keaton Mitchell (RB) | 24.6% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 23.3% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 56.9% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 29.6% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 25.5% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 23.7% |
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 23.1% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 13.7% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 5.0% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 4.8% |
| Keaton Mitchell (RB) | 4.0% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 3.8% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 15.3% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 6.4% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 5.3% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 4.9% |
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 4.8% |
Ravens vs Packers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Tyler Huntley is projected to have a quiet game with 165 passing yards, while the Packers' Malik Willis is expected to throw for just 174 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley (BAL) | 165 |
| Malik Willis (GB) | 174 |
Ravens rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 79 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 29 |
| Tyler Huntley | 28 |
Packers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 53 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 33 |
| Malik Willis | 32 |
Ravens receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 56 |
| Mark Andrews | 27 |
| Isaiah Likely | 20 |
| Rashod Bateman | 20 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 18 |
Packers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 41 |
| Jayden Reed | 33 |
| Romeo Doubs | 30 |
| Luke Musgrave | 23 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 15 |
Ravens vs. Packers game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Packers and Ravens at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Ravens in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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