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Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/25/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Baltimore Orioles-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox this Sunday.

The Boston Red Sox will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, beginning at 1:35PM ET.

The Red Sox will send Walker Buehler (4-1, 4.00 ERA) to the mound, while the Orioles have opted for Dean Kremer (3-5, 5.50 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Baltimore-Boston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Red Sox with a win probability of 53%, while the Orioles have 47%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Orioles vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 53% chance of defeating the Orioles.

According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:28PM, May 25
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Orioles
Win %
47%
53%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Orioles BAL
Win %
47%
53%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Dean Kremer 3-5, 5.50 ERA
Walker Buehler 4-1, 4.00 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds [5/25/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Orioles Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-184) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +112 -130
Total o9 (-108) u9 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Orioles vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Baltimore vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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